Topic: UFC 291

UFC 291: Poirier vs. Gaethje 2

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Tapology
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05.13.2023 | 11:40 AM ET

The official Tapology discussion thread for the event!
UFC 291
  • Saturday 07.29.2023 at 07:00 PM ET
  • U.S. Broadcast: Pay Per View | Prelims: ABC
  • Promotion: Ultimate Fighting Championship
  • Ownership: Endeavor
  • Venue: Vivint Arena
  • Location: Salt Lake City, Utah, United States
  • Enclosure: Octagon
  • TV Announcers: Jon Anik, Joe Rogan, Daniel Cormier
  • Ring Announcer: Bruce Buffer
  • Post-Fight Interviews: Joe Rogan
  • Ticket Revenue (live gate): $6,556,444
  • Attendance: 18,467
  • MMA Bouts: 11
  • Promotion Links:
  • Event Links:
Bout   Info
Justin Gaethje   defeats   Dustin Poirier   via KO/TKO, Head Kick   1:00 Round 2 of 5, 6:00 Total Bout Page
Alex Pereira   defeats   Jan Błachowicz   via Decision, Split   3 Rounds, 15:00 Total Bout Page
Derrick Lewis   defeats   Marcos Rogério de Lima   via KO/TKO, Flying Knee to Ground Strikes   0:33 Round 1 of 3 Bout Page
Bobby Green   defeats   Tony Ferguson   via Submission, Arm Triangle Choke   4:54 Round 3 of 3, 14:54 Total Bout Page
Kevin Holland   defeats   Michael Chiesa   via Submission, D'arce Choke   2:39 Round 1 of 3 Bout Page
Gabriel Bonfim   defeats   Trevin Giles   via Submission, Guillotine Choke   1:13 Round 1 of 3 Bout Page
CJ Vergara   defeats   Vinicius Salvador   via Decision, Unanimous   3 Rounds, 15:00 Total Bout Page
Roman Kopylov   defeats   Claudio Ribeiro   via KO/TKO, Head Kick   0:33 Round 2 of 3, 5:33 Total Bout Page
Jake Matthews   defeats   Darrius Flowers   via Submission, Rear Naked Choke   2:37 Round 2 of 3, 7:37 Total Bout Page
Uros Medic   defeats   Matthew Semelsberger   via KO/TKO, Spinning Backfist to Ground Strikes   2:36 Round 3 of 3, 12:36 Total Bout Page
Miranda Maverick   defeats   Priscila Cachoeira   via Submission, Armbar   2:11 Round 3 of 3, 12:11 Total Bout Page

Responses Page 28

ChoRo
ChoRo
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07.27.2023 | 11:44 PM ET

Prediction Comments

Predictions: 8 of 11 Winners, 2 Perfect, 475 Points   |   Tied for 2754th

Lewis vs. Rogério de Lima
Marcos Rogério de Lima, TKO, R3
Lewis doesn’t have that dawg in him anymore. He’ll waste most of the fight looking for a big KO opportunity but it’ll never come. He will gas out or get clipped early and quit

Kopylov vs. Ribeiro
Roman Kopylov, DEC
Kopylov has great TD defence and top notch striking. He should take over late and cruise to a decision.

Matthews vs. Flowers
Jake Matthews, SUB, R2
Matthews steam rolls his way to a finish. Could be a GNP TKO or Sub tbh.

Vergara vs. Salvador
CJ Vergara, DEC
Low confidence on this one. Probably the two worst flyweights in the UFC. Salvador looked awful in his last bout.

Semelsberger vs. Medic
Matthew Semelsberger, DEC
Semelsberger wins this fairly clear cut. A Semelsberger KO may be possible as well, he carries power late as well.

Maverick vs. Cachoeira
Miranda Maverick, DEC
Miranda should win this fight. But very low confidence. She struggles with pressure.

ChoRo
ChoRo
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07.27.2023 | 11:51 PM ET

Prediction Comments

Predictions: 8 of 11 Winners, 2 Perfect, 475 Points   |   Tied for 2754th

Poirier vs. Gaethje II
Dustin Poirier, SUB, R4
50/50

Błachowicz vs. Pereira
Alex Pereira, TKO, R2
I don’t think Jans wrestling is going to be as effective as people think. Poatan walks him down and gets a KO.

Thompson vs. Pereira
Stephen Thompson, DEC
Very low confidence but Pereira is flaky, while Thompson is consistently himself.

Ferguson vs. Green
Bobby Green, DEC
Tony is over the hill. Bobby will have his usual late rally and take a competitive decision.

Chiesa vs. Holland
Kevin Holland, TKO, R3
I feel really uncertain about this pick. Chiesa May just hold Holland down for 15 mins but I have faith in Holland to tag him up and get a late finish via KO or club N Sub

Giles vs. Bonfim
Gabriel Bonfim, DEC
Trevin will do better than many people expect, Bonfim is legit and will put grapple him. A sub could come early as well.

hom3r95
hom3r95
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07.28.2023 | 12:02 AM ET

Prediction Comments

Predictions: 1 of 1 Winners, 0 Perfect, 50 Points   |   Tied for 6041st

Maverick vs. Cachoeira
Miranda Maverick, TKO, R2
Maverick should have the grappling edge here. This is womens mma. Be cautious. She should roll with the takedowns and beat Cach up as Ive seen her be dominated when taken down.

Kkkomboo
Kkkomboo
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07.28.2023 | 2:48 AM ET

Predictions: 4 of 5 Winners, 0 Perfect, 230 Points   |   Tied for 5616th

Ufc 291. Great card. But there weren't Dana White and Joe Rogan on press conference . ***

"It's never too late to develop your critical thinking capacities"

Jodra
Jodra
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07.28.2023 | 3:00 AM ET

I'm not really convinced about Gabriel Bonfim because of his defense. He's so vulnerable in exchange because his chin/head is up in the air and in the centerline and so upright when he throws. 

* Edited at 07.28.2023, 3:34 AM ET *

Sasquatch27
Sasquatch27
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07.28.2023 | 3:41 AM ET

Predictions: 7 of 11 Winners, 2 Perfect, 455 Points   |   Tied for 3139th

Who want my locks of the week? 3 up votes and i do it

edit* I said UP VOTES

* Edited at 07.28.2023, 3:49 AM ET *

Evan23
Evan23
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07.28.2023 | 4:12 AM ET

Prediction Comments

Predictions: 8 of 11 Winners, 5 Perfect, 600 Points   |   Tied for 621st

Poirier vs. Gaethje II
Dustin Poirier, TKO, R5
All I know about this one is that it'll be a war. I think Poirier finishes Gaethje late, I just like his cardio and boxing better than Gaethje's.

Błachowicz vs. Pereira
Alex Pereira, DEC
I think this'll be a super technical kickboxing match. I think Jan chooses to wrestle in this one too late and it costs him. I think Alex outpoints him on the feet to win a close one.

Thompson vs. Pereira
Stephen Thompson, DEC
Thompson is simply the better striker in this one, as long as he doesn't get caught with something wild, I think he wins decisively.

Ferguson vs. Green
Bobby Green, DEC
Bobby is going to light up Tony like a Christmas tree.

Chiesa vs. Holland
Kevin Holland, TKO, R2
I think Kevin will have trouble with the grappling as he usually does, but Chiesa usually leaves a lot of openings on the feet and I think Kevin will capitalize on them.

Giles vs. Bonfim
Gabriel Bonfim, SUB, R1
Bonfim is legit, Giles is solid test but I don't think his ground game stands a chance against Bonfim.

Lewis vs. Rogério de Lima
Derrick Lewis, TKO, R1
DLew better not lose this one, this is a layup for him. If he loses this one, he's truly washed.

Kopylov vs. Ribeiro
Roman Kopylov, TKO, R2
Kopylov has looked pretty solid as of late. I think he gets it done with the body work against Ribeiro.

Matthews vs. Flowers
Jake Matthews, DEC
Matthews should tee off on Flowers. But Matthews is fluky so you never know.

Vergara vs. Salvador
CJ Vergara, DEC
I think Vergara should dominate this one, Salvador is not that good.

Semelsberger vs. Medic
Matthew Semelsberger, DEC
Semelsberger throws bombs, but Medic is a dog. I think this'll end up being pretty close as the elevation gets to them both and Semi edges the decision.

Maverick vs. Cachoeira
Priscila Cachoeira, TKO, R1
Cachoeira either KO's you or gets destroyed on the ground, I actually have faith in her hands in this particular matchup, that being said, if she gets taken down she's gonna lose.

Reptile
Reptile
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07.28.2023 | 5:15 AM ET

Prediction Comments

Predictions: 7 of 11 Winners, 2 Perfect, 425 Points   |   Tied for 3761st

Błachowicz vs. Pereira
Jan Błachowicz, DEC
Jan's leg kicking game, especially on the defensive side is still underrated. Probably one of the best checkers in the game, and he is really smart with his timing when he kicks. The leg kicking aspect of the Pereira matchup is fascinating, but i'm really confident to pick Jan Błachowicz.

unoshowtenuno
unoshowtenuno
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07.28.2023 | 5:22 AM ET

Prediction Comments

Predictions: 8 of 11 Winners, 3 Perfect, 540 Points   |   Tied for 1454th

Semelsberger vs. Medic
Matthew Semelsberger, TKO, R1
This fight feels like a recipe for violence. Semelsberger has huge power, having dropped every one of his UFC opponents, and Medic has shown himself to be a deadly striker in his own right. Semelsberger will have a grappling advantage, and you'd have to imagine Medic will be the more composed fighter on the feet. I'm leaning towards Semelsberger... I just think he has more tools in his bag compared to the relatively one-dimensional Medic. Matt has ridiculous one punch KO power, a size/reach advantage, more paths to victory and an opponent who will probably be willing to trade with him. I predict an early fire fight that ends with a first round KO for Semi.

Maverick vs. Cachoeira
Miranda Maverick, DEC
Priscila Cachoeira is everyone's favorite overachieving women's MMA brawler. Started her UFC career 0-3, but is 4-1 since 2020 with three knockouts. Despite her huge striking and power advantage, it's hard for me to see a path to victory here. Unless she can really sure up her TDD, Maverick should have no issue just blasting takedowns and utilizing top control for a decision win.

"We are all one"

ChasePorter17
ChasePorter17
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07.28.2023 | 5:56 AM ET

Prediction Comments

Predictions: 8 of 11 Winners, 3 Perfect, 540 Points   |   Tied for 1454th

Poirier vs. Gaethje II
Justin Gaethje, TKO, R2
the jab

Błachowicz vs. Pereira
Alex Pereira, TKO, R1
Can Jan takedown Poatan? Or do I take my own life.

Thompson vs. Pereira
Stephen Thompson
Please God let the pain end. Wonderboy striking is a skill thang. Pereira has difficulty with weight cut. Wonderman too elusive.

Ferguson vs. Green
Bobby Green, TKO, R1
I'm going to kill myself

Chiesa vs. Holland
Kevin Holland, TKO, R2
Chiesa pill kills the sport. Kille me slow on dis one. If he half guard crotch sniffs

Giles vs. Bonfim
Gabriel Bonfim, SUB, R1
skill issue

Lewis vs. Rogério de Lima
Marcos Rogério de Lima, TKO, R1
Please god let the pain end. Good pocket hooks. great leg kicks and derrick stand so hard on the lead leg

Kopylov vs. Ribeiro
Roman Kopylov, TKO, R3
obvi pick. ribeiro slows down

Matthews vs. Flowers
Jake Matthews, TKO, R3
longer the fight the better for matt

Vergara vs. Salvador
CJ Vergara, DEC
Salvador fight IQ dumb af

Semelsberger vs. Medic
Matthew Semelsberger, TKO, R2
Matty S will find the shot

Maverick vs. Cachoeira
Priscila Cachoeira, DEC
WMMA moment

Dana White PPV
Dana White PPV
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07.28.2023 | 6:59 AM ET

Prediction Comments

Predictions: 6 of 11 Winners, 2 Perfect, 405 Points   |   Tied for 4077th

Poirier vs. Gaethje II
Justin Gaethje, TKO, R3
50% / 50%

foppa420
foppa420
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07.28.2023 | 7:10 AM ET

Predictions: 9 of 11 Winners, 1 Perfect, 560 Points   |   Tied for 1091st

I'm having a hard time believing Derrick Lewis has swelled to being an almost 2 to 1 underdog against de Lima. 

* Edited at 07.28.2023, 7:20 AM ET *

gliese58i
gliese58i
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07.28.2023 | 7:46 AM ET

@Mav58

Predictions: 8 of 11 Winners, 1 Perfect, 485 Points   |   Tied for 2604th

No I would be somewhat surprised. Jan is a very big and solid guy, the more technical deficiencies Alex has in his game the more he'd need to supply brute strength to succeed at grappling and he had a couple of poor attempts vs Adesanya where he got the worse of the exchange + scramble.
But if he's given it for free then sure I could see him taking advantage of something happening. I don't see him actively seeking it though.

"She’ll go there and smash her. She’ll get a title shot, become a UFC champion. We have a Ronda Rousey on steroids. This is what we have.” - Ali Abdelaziz on Kayla Harrison

boya_UFC
boya_UFC
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07.28.2023 | 7:48 AM ET

Prediction Comments

Predictions: 6 of 11 Winners, 0 Perfect, 315 Points   |   Tied for 5105th

Chiesa vs. Holland
Michael Chiesa, SUB, R3
same Jan vs Alex fight.

Giles vs. Bonfim
Gabriel Bonfim, TKO, R1
100% KO by Bonfim

Lewis vs. Rogério de Lima
Marcos Rogério de Lima, TKO, R1
hot eggs so slow

Kopylov vs. Ribeiro
Roman Kopylov, DEC
Roman get the job done.

Matthews vs. Flowers
Jake Matthews, DEC
EZ for Jake

Vergara vs. Salvador
CJ Vergara, TKO, R2
CJV better

Semelsberger vs. Medic
Matthew Semelsberger, DEC
Matthew 29-28 DEC

Maverick vs. Cachoeira
Miranda Maverick, DEC
MM got this matchup

rappinpapsoda
rappinpapsoda
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07.28.2023 | 8:18 AM ET

Predictions: 9 of 11 Winners, 3 Perfect, 605 Points   |   Tied for 497th

Maybe Chiesa will get subbed.  For a BB, he has gotten subbed a bit by guys that I wouldn;t expect to do it.

"The only thing predictable about MMA is that it is unpredictable."

ChoRo
ChoRo
  • Member Since: 2022.08.04
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07.28.2023 | 9:51 AM ET

Predictions: 8 of 11 Winners, 2 Perfect, 475 Points   |   Tied for 2754th

@IDPC7 


The only betting dogs I’m with are : Poatan, 

But I’ll admit the following underdogs are all worth a try: Chiesa, Pereira, Gaethje, 
Brabo49
Brabo49
  • Member Since: 2022.05.03
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07.28.2023 | 9:57 AM ET

Predictions: 6 of 11 Winners, 1 Perfect, 340 Points   |   Tied for 4899th

Giles is actually good. He was piecing up DDP before getting clipped. Although i'm picking him mainly because the MMA gods are sick vindictive begins that like to give us a taste of nice things then snatch them away from us. So I wouldn't be surprised if Gabriel loses just so both brothers can has great debut's and then suffer underwhelming losses straight after. In MMA usually just pick the most dissatisfying option and you'll be right at least 60% of the time.

* Edited at 07.28.2023, 9:58 AM ET *

"Don't be silly jump the gilly"

Kniferusty
Kniferusty
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07.28.2023 | 10:49 AM ET

Predictions: 2 of 2 Winners, 0 Perfect, 130 Points   |   Tied for 5918th

@Brabo49  Giles/Bonfim getting elevated to the feature prelim is to showcase Bonfim. We all know Giles didn’t earn that slot on his own so this means even the UFC thinks Giles is going to get finished

"All my picks are backed by some type of real money wager. When I bet the house - I now have two houses"

Andrew1047
Andrew1047
  • Member Since: 2022.06.18
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07.28.2023 | 10:54 AM ET

Predictions: 9 of 11 Winners, 3 Perfect, 575 Points   |   Tied for 871st

@Kniferusty 
truth

* Edited at 07.28.2023, 10:54 AM ET *

This user is suspended from posting until 1 year, 6 months, 1 week, 6 days, 8 hours, and 11 minutes from now.
Swords Song
Swords Song
  • Member Since: 2022.10.29
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07.28.2023 | 11:20 AM ET

Predictions: 8 of 11 Winners, 2 Perfect, 490 Points   |   Tied for 2442nd

Lewis just came in with a 6 pack (no not a beer one).

Page 28


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